THINKING LIKE AN INVESTOR: How to make money off of the daily sex scandals.
"Tens of thousands of years of mating instincts and behavior still exert a powerful influence on us today, whether we want to acknowledge it or not. Many men still want sex and will trade money to get it, while many women still want security and will trade sex to get it." BJ Gallagher, Huffington Post
Men and women's bodies have "natural" differences, we think and behave in some different ways, and our human experience is shaped by the different ways culture and society treat us. One construct that is generally accepted is that "men use power & money to get sex, and women use sex to get power & money." This characterization, along with virtually every characterization, is a broad generalization and exceptions abound. In other words, there are women who are stronger than men. And there are men who use sex to gain power over women, and there are women who never rely on their "sex appeal." But for purposes of discussion and the question I am about to pose, indulge me and let us assume that there is some validity to this premise.
The explosion of sexual harassment and assault cases in the news has put both genders on notice. For each gender the consequences will play out differently. And the effects will change how we each perceive, behave, react and respond. The dynamics will impact many social, cultural, and business settings and situations. What is acceptable for both genders will shift and adjust to the new risks and realities. If we play this forward, you can imagine many changes in our lives.
If we come back to the original premise, that "men use power & money to get sex, and women use sex to get power & money," what changes can we anticipate if we assume this equation is no longer "acceptable?" What do men lose? What do women lose? What do men gain? What do women gain?
The new dynamics will result in changes in the ways that both sexes plan and operate. And those changes will impact people's personal and business decisions. Right now, at this present moment we are so caught up in the scandals and shock, and politics of the day, that we have yet to consider the broader implications.
I can toss out some imaginable changes just to start the thought/brainstorm process:
- Male recruiters/bosses might be less likely to hire an "attractive" women. This could give less attractive women greater job prospects.
- Women will be more likely to report incidents of abuse, which should result in the decreased likelihood of abusive behavior.
- Sexually provocatively dress in the workplace may be perceived differently, which could also effect the fashion and apparel industry.
- Men will seek out new "safer" means of "gaining sex." E.G. Places which offer legal prostitution, pornography, and chat rooms may see increased business.
- Men and woman in relationships may look to spice it up, since excitement from flirtation in the workplace and elsewhere is more taboo and risky.
So now, how do we identify where trends are taking us and figure out how to invest in those trends to make money? This whole subject raises the notion of "trend watching," a subject that I enjoy and have read a few books about.
Change is to entrepreneurs, what oxygen is to a flame. Social and cultural shifts create opportunities for new businesses, products and services. Investors looks for places to put their money where there is greater opportunity. Whenever there are big changes in what is socially acceptable or desirable, there is an opportunity to profit from it. The key is to figure out where, when, and how these changes will impact consumer behaviors.
Friday, December 15, 2017
Monday, December 11, 2017
Trump Success Comes From What He Hears
Left critics of President Trump don't support ANYTHING he does, so it is not very shocking that they would go bonkers over his Embassy decision. They say it will hurt the "Peace Process." What peace process? For years Abbas has refused to negotiate and has only sought to undermine Israel in the U.N., which as a body has focused on passing one terrible condemnation after another of Israel while ignoring a multitude of crimes and violations by others.
The Left says the President's decision will "destabilize the Middle East and result in violence." Somehow I failed to notice how stable and peaceful the Middle East has been these past 60 years.
The Left has taken away the wrong message from President's courageous action. Here is what they seem to be missing:
“. . . for whoever touches you touches the apple of his eye.” Zechariah 2:12,
“I will bless those who bless you, and the one who curses you I will curse.” Genesis 12:3:
Here is the thing. The Left fails to appreciate that President Trump is not just speaking. Even before he speaks, he listens. Trump is a receiver. He listened to America, and America elected him. And I believe he is listening still when it comes to the Middle East and Israel. The message that Trump delivers to us, is the message he hears. The Left has repeatedly underestimated Trump's voice because they completely discount that he listens.
We can relate the President's action with respect to his decision to move our embassy back to Jerusalem to Numbers 13, in which Joshua and Caleb urged the people to enter the Land of Israel without fear of their enemies. Trump heard this message echoing from the past.
President Trump's action does not hurt or weaken Israel. It protects and sustains it. Nor does it hurt the chances for peace and a safe and secure home for Palestinians. People of all cultures and faiths can prosper and practice their faith in Israel. The only thing stopping them is their hatred.
The President's action confronts the closed mind set of hate. The President's action squares the position of the USA with reality, and forces Palestinians to choose between peace and violence, between love and hate, between prosperity and suffering, between a brighter and a darker future.
President Trump's declaration on December 6, 2017 presents the Palestinians with a choice to make. A choice to see freshly the opportunities that are before them for peace and prosperity, or to see only darkness and vengeance ahead. Their situation is akin to this passage from Deuteronomy, verse 19: "This day, I call upon the heaven and the earth as witnesses [that I have warned] you: I have set before you life and death, the blessing and the curse. You shall choose life, so that you and your offspring will live"
The Left says the President's decision will "destabilize the Middle East and result in violence." Somehow I failed to notice how stable and peaceful the Middle East has been these past 60 years.
The Left has taken away the wrong message from President's courageous action. Here is what they seem to be missing:
“. . . for whoever touches you touches the apple of his eye.” Zechariah 2:12,
“I will bless those who bless you, and the one who curses you I will curse.” Genesis 12:3:
Here is the thing. The Left fails to appreciate that President Trump is not just speaking. Even before he speaks, he listens. Trump is a receiver. He listened to America, and America elected him. And I believe he is listening still when it comes to the Middle East and Israel. The message that Trump delivers to us, is the message he hears. The Left has repeatedly underestimated Trump's voice because they completely discount that he listens.
We can relate the President's action with respect to his decision to move our embassy back to Jerusalem to Numbers 13, in which Joshua and Caleb urged the people to enter the Land of Israel without fear of their enemies. Trump heard this message echoing from the past.
President Trump's action does not hurt or weaken Israel. It protects and sustains it. Nor does it hurt the chances for peace and a safe and secure home for Palestinians. People of all cultures and faiths can prosper and practice their faith in Israel. The only thing stopping them is their hatred.
The President's action confronts the closed mind set of hate. The President's action squares the position of the USA with reality, and forces Palestinians to choose between peace and violence, between love and hate, between prosperity and suffering, between a brighter and a darker future.
President Trump's declaration on December 6, 2017 presents the Palestinians with a choice to make. A choice to see freshly the opportunities that are before them for peace and prosperity, or to see only darkness and vengeance ahead. Their situation is akin to this passage from Deuteronomy, verse 19: "This day, I call upon the heaven and the earth as witnesses [that I have warned] you: I have set before you life and death, the blessing and the curse. You shall choose life, so that you and your offspring will live"
Sunday, December 10, 2017
DEEP CLEANING THE COUNTRY
Finally, we are getting the kind of economic strength that will "reach into the corners," as I will put it.
Now that Trump is president we are seeing his promise for robust growth and prosperity being delivered. Gone is the slowest recovery in history from a deep recession. This isn't even a regular recovery any more. The "Trump Effect" is like the difference between your regular house cleaning, and those times when you do a really deep cleaning and get into all the corners!
The Millennials, X-generation, and even Baby Boomers in the workforce today are too young to know what it is like to have an economy running above 4% GDP growth, let alone touching as high as the 5-6% Trump promises.
Keep in mind that USA businesses have spent the last 8 years cutting costs and increasing efficiency to get through the Great Recession and tepid growth while trying to maintain margins despite revenue declines. So as growth comes and productivity increases along with capacity utilization, operating/profit margins are going to expand dramatically. Couple this with the soon to be passed Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, and that means we will see historic leaps in earnings retained AFTER taxes, in my opinion.
The implications to all of this is enormous and profound. We can experience effects that we simply have not seen in most folks' lifetime. Here is a PARTIAL LIST OF BENEFITS:
1. INCREASE IN WORKFORCE PARTICIPATION - There are early signs already, even with 3% GDP growth, of the labour market tightening. The unemployment rate of those at least 25 years old without a high school diploma fell to 5.2% last month, down from 7.9% a year earlier. That was the lowest rate recorded to date, US Labor Secretary Alexander Acosta said.
Chronically under & unemployed will be drawn into the workforce by employers desperate for labor and willing to take greater hiring risks to fill needed positions. Offers of training and apprenticeships for low/no skill people will give people who really need a chance a great opportunity to get on the ladder. Couple this anticipated welfare reforms, those who have exploited our system will be forced off the public taxpayers' teat.
The benefit to our economy is two fold and compound. People moving off of tax payer assistance and into the workforce go from being an unproductive drain on our economy and contributors to our national deficit, to productive members of society and contributors to the economy and tax revenue.
2. PHILANTHROPY - Greater profits, greater dividends, greater stock prices, greater bonuses and greater wages will all lead to greater reasons for greater GIVING. I expect we will see increases in philanthropy. Gifts will find their way into all sorts of causes including the arts, science, education, medicine, poverty, hunger, and non-profits of all types.
3. THE GOOD LIFE - As folks feel good about their household wealth, income and job security, they have more desire and means for the finer/funner things in life. This translates into greater expenditures on everything from decorating to travel, from dining out to kitchen renovations with upscale appliances, from jewelry to plastic surgery. As consumers feel better about their household wealth/income they open their wallets and seek ways to express their wealth. Money may not buy happiness but people have not stopped trying! And since the consumer represents 70% of the economy, those efforts create a positive head wind for the economy - which produces spiraling growth with success feeding on success.
4. GENERATIONAL WEALTH TRANSFER - America is experiencing the greatest transfer of wealth in history. Socialists like Bernie Sanders would have been happy to see the government confiscate nearly all of that money through taxes. Thanks to Trump and Republicans that money gets to mostly stay in the families of those who earned and created the wealth. So that money can continue to do what it has always done - ADD TO THE GROWTH OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR WHO PAY THE GREATEST PORTION OF TAXES ALREADY, CREATE THE MOST JOBS, AND DONATE THE MOST MONEY TO GREAT CAUSES. Rather than expanding the size and waste of the government.
5. MONEY FOR THE IMPORTANT AND NEGLECTED STUFF - With money rolling into state and local governments as a result of leaps in revenue, wages, sales taxes, etc, our local needs can be better met. That could a new fire truck, a bridge renovation, modernization of waste and water systems, or any number of overdue and valid improvements that got put off during the great recession and slow recovery. Hopefully our local representatives have learned to be more efficient and smart with our tax dollars these past 9 years. (I'd really like to hear the POTUS announce an increase to the gasoline tax with all revenues applied to infrastructure.)
6. HOUSEHOLD FORMATION AND EXPANSION - When people feel good about the future they take risks. Three of the biggest risks a person or couple can make are to get married, have a baby, buy a home. I am talking big increases in household formation - the core trend for an expansionary economy.
CONCLUSION:
Like any deep cleaning, the place can look and feel great afterward. This new robust economy can produce the deep cleaning America has needed. It can truly "Make America great again!"
Now that Trump is president we are seeing his promise for robust growth and prosperity being delivered. Gone is the slowest recovery in history from a deep recession. This isn't even a regular recovery any more. The "Trump Effect" is like the difference between your regular house cleaning, and those times when you do a really deep cleaning and get into all the corners!
The Millennials, X-generation, and even Baby Boomers in the workforce today are too young to know what it is like to have an economy running above 4% GDP growth, let alone touching as high as the 5-6% Trump promises.
Keep in mind that USA businesses have spent the last 8 years cutting costs and increasing efficiency to get through the Great Recession and tepid growth while trying to maintain margins despite revenue declines. So as growth comes and productivity increases along with capacity utilization, operating/profit margins are going to expand dramatically. Couple this with the soon to be passed Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, and that means we will see historic leaps in earnings retained AFTER taxes, in my opinion.
The implications to all of this is enormous and profound. We can experience effects that we simply have not seen in most folks' lifetime. Here is a PARTIAL LIST OF BENEFITS:
1. INCREASE IN WORKFORCE PARTICIPATION - There are early signs already, even with 3% GDP growth, of the labour market tightening. The unemployment rate of those at least 25 years old without a high school diploma fell to 5.2% last month, down from 7.9% a year earlier. That was the lowest rate recorded to date, US Labor Secretary Alexander Acosta said.
Chronically under & unemployed will be drawn into the workforce by employers desperate for labor and willing to take greater hiring risks to fill needed positions. Offers of training and apprenticeships for low/no skill people will give people who really need a chance a great opportunity to get on the ladder. Couple this anticipated welfare reforms, those who have exploited our system will be forced off the public taxpayers' teat.
The benefit to our economy is two fold and compound. People moving off of tax payer assistance and into the workforce go from being an unproductive drain on our economy and contributors to our national deficit, to productive members of society and contributors to the economy and tax revenue.
2. PHILANTHROPY - Greater profits, greater dividends, greater stock prices, greater bonuses and greater wages will all lead to greater reasons for greater GIVING. I expect we will see increases in philanthropy. Gifts will find their way into all sorts of causes including the arts, science, education, medicine, poverty, hunger, and non-profits of all types.
3. THE GOOD LIFE - As folks feel good about their household wealth, income and job security, they have more desire and means for the finer/funner things in life. This translates into greater expenditures on everything from decorating to travel, from dining out to kitchen renovations with upscale appliances, from jewelry to plastic surgery. As consumers feel better about their household wealth/income they open their wallets and seek ways to express their wealth. Money may not buy happiness but people have not stopped trying! And since the consumer represents 70% of the economy, those efforts create a positive head wind for the economy - which produces spiraling growth with success feeding on success.
4. GENERATIONAL WEALTH TRANSFER - America is experiencing the greatest transfer of wealth in history. Socialists like Bernie Sanders would have been happy to see the government confiscate nearly all of that money through taxes. Thanks to Trump and Republicans that money gets to mostly stay in the families of those who earned and created the wealth. So that money can continue to do what it has always done - ADD TO THE GROWTH OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR WHO PAY THE GREATEST PORTION OF TAXES ALREADY, CREATE THE MOST JOBS, AND DONATE THE MOST MONEY TO GREAT CAUSES. Rather than expanding the size and waste of the government.
5. MONEY FOR THE IMPORTANT AND NEGLECTED STUFF - With money rolling into state and local governments as a result of leaps in revenue, wages, sales taxes, etc, our local needs can be better met. That could a new fire truck, a bridge renovation, modernization of waste and water systems, or any number of overdue and valid improvements that got put off during the great recession and slow recovery. Hopefully our local representatives have learned to be more efficient and smart with our tax dollars these past 9 years. (I'd really like to hear the POTUS announce an increase to the gasoline tax with all revenues applied to infrastructure.)
6. HOUSEHOLD FORMATION AND EXPANSION - When people feel good about the future they take risks. Three of the biggest risks a person or couple can make are to get married, have a baby, buy a home. I am talking big increases in household formation - the core trend for an expansionary economy.
CONCLUSION:
Like any deep cleaning, the place can look and feel great afterward. This new robust economy can produce the deep cleaning America has needed. It can truly "Make America great again!"
Thursday, December 7, 2017
Belief In What You Can't See, and Seeing What You Can't Explain
WE CAN BE LOOKING DIRECTLY AT SOMETHING AND STILL NOT SEE IT.
Before you read my post, to set the context, have a look at this video about the Great Pyramids.
Today 12/6/17, something happened that we don't understand. So many people are convinced they understand President Trump and what is happening. They can not even imagine an alternative possibility -- that there is anything otherwise or greater at play. When will people figure it out?
The builders of the great pyramids of Egypt designed and created structures that mystify us even today. How is that even possible?! Sophisticated modern architects or builders, with today's modern technology, equipment and means, are humbled by even the sight, let alone the specifics of the accomplishments of those who made those amazing structures. Even today, experts about the pyramids acknowledge with as much as they know, still don't understand how they accomplished what they did.
Trump is also hard to understand . .
I am reminded of Jonah. At first Jonah would not go. But, when Jonah turned, and went to Nineveh to declare judgment was coming to the warring and lustful Assyrians, he defied all the odds. But they listened. Because Jonah listened, and what he heard removed his fear.
Trump did not risk the peace because for thousands of years, peace has not existed in the Middle East. For thousands of years the Jewish people in that land have been under assault. Jews living there today, not to mention a large Arab and Christian population, do so with the constant repeated threats of Muslim nations to destroy their country and kill them.
For thousands of years, long before Christianity let alone Islam even existed, that place has been the heart and center of the Jewish people. To this day, Jews still gather and pray at remnants of the Temple that stood, fell, stood, and fell again and spread Jews to all corners of the world. And from that day, Jews, as well as many Christians have prayed for the day when we could stand again to make the declaration which President Trump just trumpeted for the entire world to hear.
Today, leaders from all the nations around the world are speaking out against the one President of the only Nation specifically because he proudly and confidently declared Jerusalem the eternal capital of the State of Israel.
Israel's enemies pledge war for what Trump did in the name of peace. Trump is showing us a new path to peace, because for over 60 years other paths have failed. It is a path which recognizes and respects the claims of the three faiths' of Abraham. Trump pledged that Israel will be a place that guards all people's right to one universal G-d at the birthplace of the Jewish people who brought the world the founding message of the One G-d.
What is happening right before our eyes? What does it take to see it? Could it be that which is not possible, like the great pyramids of Egypt, from Mose's time, is happening right before our eyes and we still don't see it?
SUCH IS FAITH.
“For Zion’s sake I will not keep silent, for Jerusalem’s sake I will not remain quiet, until her vindication shines like the dawn, her salvation like a blazing torch. The nations will see your vindication” (Isaiah 62:1)
Before you read my post, to set the context, have a look at this video about the Great Pyramids.
Today 12/6/17, something happened that we don't understand. So many people are convinced they understand President Trump and what is happening. They can not even imagine an alternative possibility -- that there is anything otherwise or greater at play. When will people figure it out?
The builders of the great pyramids of Egypt designed and created structures that mystify us even today. How is that even possible?! Sophisticated modern architects or builders, with today's modern technology, equipment and means, are humbled by even the sight, let alone the specifics of the accomplishments of those who made those amazing structures. Even today, experts about the pyramids acknowledge with as much as they know, still don't understand how they accomplished what they did.
Trump is also hard to understand . .
- Never in the history of our country had a person of his senior been elected President of the United States.
- Never in history has a person without any political experience or military service been elected.
- Never has a person so "unpopular" without the support of major elements of the body politic roundly defeated such a large field of the establishment.
- Never has a person married not once, but twice to first generation immigrant women, governed with the active involvement of such a large nuclear family.
- Never has a U.S. President's two closest and most trusted advisers been Orthodox Jews.
- Trump has done things in just 11 months that no President has been able to do in 20x as much time. Transforming our tax code, recognizing Jerusalem and announcing our Embassy move, are extraordinary feats that presidents with the highest political accomplishments could not achieve during even two terms as president.
- Never has a President taken such bold courageous stances for Israel and the Jewish State.
I am reminded of Jonah. At first Jonah would not go. But, when Jonah turned, and went to Nineveh to declare judgment was coming to the warring and lustful Assyrians, he defied all the odds. But they listened. Because Jonah listened, and what he heard removed his fear.
Trump did not risk the peace because for thousands of years, peace has not existed in the Middle East. For thousands of years the Jewish people in that land have been under assault. Jews living there today, not to mention a large Arab and Christian population, do so with the constant repeated threats of Muslim nations to destroy their country and kill them.
For thousands of years, long before Christianity let alone Islam even existed, that place has been the heart and center of the Jewish people. To this day, Jews still gather and pray at remnants of the Temple that stood, fell, stood, and fell again and spread Jews to all corners of the world. And from that day, Jews, as well as many Christians have prayed for the day when we could stand again to make the declaration which President Trump just trumpeted for the entire world to hear.
Today, leaders from all the nations around the world are speaking out against the one President of the only Nation specifically because he proudly and confidently declared Jerusalem the eternal capital of the State of Israel.
Israel's enemies pledge war for what Trump did in the name of peace. Trump is showing us a new path to peace, because for over 60 years other paths have failed. It is a path which recognizes and respects the claims of the three faiths' of Abraham. Trump pledged that Israel will be a place that guards all people's right to one universal G-d at the birthplace of the Jewish people who brought the world the founding message of the One G-d.
What is happening right before our eyes? What does it take to see it? Could it be that which is not possible, like the great pyramids of Egypt, from Mose's time, is happening right before our eyes and we still don't see it?
SUCH IS FAITH.
“For Zion’s sake I will not keep silent, for Jerusalem’s sake I will not remain quiet, until her vindication shines like the dawn, her salvation like a blazing torch. The nations will see your vindication” (Isaiah 62:1)
Saturday, November 11, 2017
THE ONLY POLITICAL POLL THAT MATTERS
There are opinion polls that rate the President' approval and Congress's approval. By those measures it is fair to say that the public can't stand Trump and hate Congress even more. Trump has an historically bad ranking. I frankly don't care much for those two polls for a few reasons, none of which has to do with Trump's low score. I simply don't think those polls matter much. Here is what does . . .
DIRECTION OF THE COUNTRY
"Public perception of the direction of the country has been strongly negative for years. In late summer of 2016, the feeling that we were moving in the wrong direction reached the high-60s, while less than 25% felt we were heading the right way. In the most recent polls, 31.1% feel that the country is moving in the "right direction." So the poll is moving in the right direction, even those nearly 70% of the country still does not believe the country is.
The following BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC data are MORE telling than the POLITICAL OPINION POLLS:
- Consumer Confidence
- Business (small, medium and large) Confidence
- Wages and Household Income
- GDP
- Corporate Earnings
- Labor Force Participation
All of these metrics are doing great since Trump has been elected. And so long as this data continue to improve I could give less than too hoots about the POLITICAL OPINION polls about Trump. The same same pollsters gave the election to Hillary in a landslide.
(If you think the recent November election outcomes in the VA and NJ suggest otherwise, I disagree. But my explanation would get me off into a different set of issues which I simply don't feel like going into here.)
DIRECTION OF THE COUNTRY
"Public perception of the direction of the country has been strongly negative for years. In late summer of 2016, the feeling that we were moving in the wrong direction reached the high-60s, while less than 25% felt we were heading the right way. In the most recent polls, 31.1% feel that the country is moving in the "right direction." So the poll is moving in the right direction, even those nearly 70% of the country still does not believe the country is.
The following BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC data are MORE telling than the POLITICAL OPINION POLLS:
- Consumer Confidence
- Business (small, medium and large) Confidence
- Wages and Household Income
- GDP
- Corporate Earnings
- Labor Force Participation
All of these metrics are doing great since Trump has been elected. And so long as this data continue to improve I could give less than too hoots about the POLITICAL OPINION polls about Trump. The same same pollsters gave the election to Hillary in a landslide.
(If you think the recent November election outcomes in the VA and NJ suggest otherwise, I disagree. But my explanation would get me off into a different set of issues which I simply don't feel like going into here.)
What the Hell Is Going On? You Can Figure It Out!
7 QUESTIONS THAT HELP YOU FIGURE OUT WHETHER IT IS TRUMP OR HILLARY THAT COULDN'T BE TRUSTED WHEN IT COMES TO RUSSIAN COLLUSION, THE LAST ELECTION AND IN GENERAL:
What is happening seems rather obvious to me. It is all coming together. Uranium One, Russian Facebook ads, mysterious Clinton deaths & disappearances, The Dossier, the Trump Jr meeting, Julian Assuage and Hillary/DNC server hacks, Flynn, Montefort, and certain others with certain Russian conflicts of interests. Do the math folks! It is not that hard to see. It is just hard to fathom!
It is NOT a Democrat or Republican "thing!" It comes down to fundamental espionage tactics which can be expressed through the following 7 questions:
1. Who can you buy? (Who is greedy and overly ambitious.)
2. Who can you blackmail? (Garbage collection and creation.)
3. Who can we use their sexual desires to compromise? (Whose horny.)
4. Who is too great a threat to your cover and has to be eliminated?
5. Who can be tricked or fooled?
6. What organizations can we infiltrate and operate from the inside to exploit or steal their assets? (E.G. media, parties, agencies, etc.)
7. What systems can we hack into in order to exploit or disrupt? (E.G. databases, private networks, etc.)
As always, with any good spy story, follow the money and the motive. But don't be fooled by your own bias when it comes to what trails to pursue or signs to read or conclusions to be reached!
What is happening seems rather obvious to me. It is all coming together. Uranium One, Russian Facebook ads, mysterious Clinton deaths & disappearances, The Dossier, the Trump Jr meeting, Julian Assuage and Hillary/DNC server hacks, Flynn, Montefort, and certain others with certain Russian conflicts of interests. Do the math folks! It is not that hard to see. It is just hard to fathom!
It is NOT a Democrat or Republican "thing!" It comes down to fundamental espionage tactics which can be expressed through the following 7 questions:
1. Who can you buy? (Who is greedy and overly ambitious.)
2. Who can you blackmail? (Garbage collection and creation.)
3. Who can we use their sexual desires to compromise? (Whose horny.)
4. Who is too great a threat to your cover and has to be eliminated?
5. Who can be tricked or fooled?
6. What organizations can we infiltrate and operate from the inside to exploit or steal their assets? (E.G. media, parties, agencies, etc.)
7. What systems can we hack into in order to exploit or disrupt? (E.G. databases, private networks, etc.)
As always, with any good spy story, follow the money and the motive. But don't be fooled by your own bias when it comes to what trails to pursue or signs to read or conclusions to be reached!
Friday, November 10, 2017
What Is In Store For Christmas?
It is nearly "that time of year," but first you need to know this . . .
"Under the 1995 Jerusalem Embassy Act, Congress explicitly named Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and demanded that the U.S. embassy be relocated there or risk losing State Department funding. But the law includes an important caveat — the president can waive the requirement for a six-month period in the name of national security interests. All administrations have opted to waive the requirement every six months, citing security concerns and advice from experts, as well as opposition to Congressional efforts to direct executive control over foreign policy."
As we know, Trump campaigned with a repeated promise to move the USA's embassy back to Jerusalem - in simple terms - to NOT sign the extension. It is a promise I believe he totally intends to keep. Frankly, I expected that he wasn't going to sign the last 6 month extension, which came up for the first time during his presidency back in June.
Trump's excuse for extending the move another 6 months as all Presidents have done for over two decades was "to give the peace process a chance" was reasonable. By the same token, it seems to me that there are more likely underlying reasons. (There always are.)
It is practically inevitable that a large portion of the middle east, and Muslims around the world are going to go apoplectic over the embassy move. As far as Israel is concerned, the most likely ways are outbreaks of violence and terror at "The Mount," from rockets fired out of Gaza and from Lebanon, and with attacks on civilians in the West Bank and Israeli cities.
We know that Israel will use crushing force in a "measured" response to such violence. We also know that no matter how measured Israel's handling is, UNESCO and even certain allies will condemn her. What I wonder most about is how Israel will address threats of and actual aggression coming from Hezbollah in Lebanon. Israel appears to be readying for a major thrust into Lebanon to deal a big blow to Iranian backed Hezbollah forces and bases.
I suspect that the last embassy move extension was less about "giving peace a chance" and more about giving war a better chance. The last extension provided Israel and the USA with important time to plan, arm and train. This was time needed to deploy the new F-35 strike fighter and other new modern systems. Simply put, knowing full well the peace process had virtually no chance, the last six month extension provided crucial time to prepare for war.
What is quite interesting to me is the possibility of a partial connection to what is happening in Saudi Arabia, as far back as the Arab Summit in Riyadh. Israel, the USA, and Saudi Arabia have a common enemy - Iran. I believe the USA and Israel have been working intensely to ensure that should there be an action by Israel in Lebanon, which may also include or draw in its ally Iran, that S.A. stands down, and may even covertly support Israel.
We can't forget about Syria, which is also an ally to both Lebanon and Iran. Without going into details, suffice to say that Syria has for all intents and purposes been neutered by their own internal matters coupled with Israeli strikes against Hezbollah's supply chain from Iran within Syria, and the USA's missile strike against a key Syrian airfield at the beginning of Trump's term.
When you boil this down, a trap is being set for Hamas in Israel, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and potentially for the ultimate target, Iran. We are closing in on the next deadline for it to be sprung - the need for Trump to sign the next extension in December.
Is Trump about to deliver a Christmas gift to both those who elected Trump and Israel, by reaffirming that Jerusalem is the eternal capital of Israel and moving our embassy back? Is this part of what Trump has in mind when he says we will be saying "Merry Christmas" this year. If so, and the gift is delivered by virtue of Trump rejecting to sign the extension, will Israel get what it wished for?
Is Trump about to deliver a Christmas gift to both those who elected Trump and Israel, by reaffirming that Jerusalem is the eternal capital of Israel and moving our embassy back? Is this part of what Trump has in mind when he says we will be saying "Merry Christmas" this year. If so, and the gift is delivered by virtue of Trump rejecting to sign the extension, will Israel get what it wished for?
What do you think?
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