Wednesday, February 19, 2020

THE WALL, THE VIRUS, THE ECONOMY - THE CONNECTION.



IS TRUMP SPEEDING UP THE WALL TO SAVE LIVES FROM THE CORONAVIRUS?

First watch this video on Facebook  and then consider my question.

The Chinese Government continues to cover up the truth about the Coronavirus epidemic, which China is desperately trying to avoid becoming a pandemic.

This cannot be stopped in Asia without an effective prevention vaccine. Treatment will save lives but not prevent the spread.

Here is a link to CDC for information on the virus:

Thankfully Trump put a ban on travel from China a couple of weeks ago. That will slow the virus spread, but not stop it. Infected carriers from China have already been to able to travel to other nations, who can infect others who do not know they are infected and may come to the USA or Canada or MEXICO.

Thankfully Trump is also rushing construction of the WALL. You may have noticed that just recently Trump moved ANOTHER ~$4 billion from the Defense budget to the wall and has waived laws in order to  accelerate construction. 

Though Trump hasn't said so yet, possibly because he doesn't want to create panic, or be accused of exploiting the virus for political purposes, I suspect a big reason Trump IS SPEEDING UP wall constrution is BECAUSE Mexico does substantial business and travel with China which makes an outbreak in Mexico more likely.

IF infected, an illegal alien would bring the virus to the USA.  Whereas, those entering the USA LEGALLY are screened FOR RISK FACTORS at the border. That is one reason borders are important!

Border security is integral to defenses against a serious virus or other infections.  For the same reason the border and customs officers search for food & vegetables, invasive species and screen for NUMEROUS other risk factors.  If people can cross our borders illegally and bypass customs we lose an essential means of defense.  

Furthermore, Mexico doesn't have the disease control that the USA has so there may be a greater potential for an outbreak getting out of control.  IF this were to happen, with the USA having both an unprotected border AND superior health care, Mexican's fearing or facing infection would be motivated to cross illegally. 

The border wall is already helping to reduce illegal crossing.  It only stands to reason that a more complete wall will have a greater impact. 
It is just common sense to think that the Coronavirus elevated concerns in our government officials who are responsible for disease control and motivated Trump's recent actions to move funds and accelerate construction - if not for that virus then for the next.  

COVID-19 PERSPECTIVE:
- 646,000 people worldwide die each year from the FLU.
- 1 Million Deaths Every Year caused by mosquitoes.
- 1.25 million worldwide die in car crashes.
- COVID-19 estimates are as high as 50 million. 

CONTAGION

TRANSMISSION


UPDATE: 2/20/20 12PM - TODAY THERE WAS A WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION BRIEFING.  A TEAM OF WORLDWIDE HEALTH PROFESSIONALS HAS JUST LANDED IN CHINA  Link to briefing.

***THERE IS ALSO A VERY OMINOUS CONCLUSION AT THE CONCLUSION OF THE DIRECTOR'S OPENING REMARKS!!!

UPDATE 2/23/20:  Report Suggests That Details Point To Coronavirus Coming From Chinese Lab. Article Link. 

Hundreds of Israelis have been placed in quarantine after coming in contact with Korean tourist group that included people diagnosed with coronavirus.  Israel's goverment taking measures to defend against the attack. Israel's Airport Authority is working to return some 800 tourists from Asia to their home countries.

UPDATE: 2/24/20:  Iranian MP says Coronavirus death toll rises to 50 in Iranian city of Qom, government denies.  Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain and Afghanistan announce first coronavirus cases, all linked to Iran.
It's hard to keep up with virus, because it is ACCELERATING. That's the nature of EXPONENTIAL growth! The Covid-19 virus is going VIRAL!
Without a preventative vaccine and treatment, quarantine and limiting exposure becomes a necessary strategy for constraining the virus.

It is been just proven that the virus is transferring asymptomatically, even before chest scans detect infection. This dramatically increases the precautions that have to be taken to slow the spread. With Quarantine requirements practically impossible to be met is not likely that the spread of the virus can be stopped. Given how rapidly exponential growth accelerates, and with there being no vaccine, this virus can very possibly become a world pandemic within months if not weeks.  It can quickly overwhelm public & private health care services and hospitals.

Based on the current world population of ~7.7 billion and the current mortality rate of 2% it is possible that the virus could claim tens of millions of lives. Perhaps many more.

Before the physical reality of a deadly pandemic sinks in, the reality will take it's toll of world economies.  Besides fear's effects on individual behavior, the steps which government, schools, transportation and businesses will have to take could well cripple society and commerce.

I cannot overstate the financial consequences to the economy if a vaccine or effective treatment is not arrived at fairly soon.

On a positive note, the virus is not a death sentence. Plus the greatest minds and labs from around the world in all the related fields are working feverishly to find a cure.